Mid-October : just when we were getting comfortable having
gotten past mid-September's statistically worst time for storms, one comes along to remind us it's not over until it's over.
Gonzalo is forecast to be reaching hurricane strength by the
time it passes near the British Virgin Islands, and so a Hurricane Warning is in effect there.
Although hurricane conditions are not currently expected in the
U.S. Virgin Islands, only a slight deviation to the left of the
forecast track, or a more rapid strengthening of the storm, would result in the need to extend the Hurricane Warning into those
areas (recall from 1995, Hurricane Luis, and then Hurricane
Marilyn, which deviated slightly from Luis' more benign track).